Nifty lost 1.87% this week
Nifty lost 1.87% this week Closed at 23,897 But here's the real story: → FIIs sold every single day → Mon ₹1,059cr, Tue ₹1,918cr, Wed ₹2,078cr, Thu ₹3,254cr DIIs bought only on two days Market held till Thursday Friday cracked Next week's levels: → 23,800 support → 24,000 r
Market Snapshot — Close
Day Change
Week in Review
Indian benchmarks closed a brutal week as geopolitics overwhelmed earnings. Nifty 50 shed 1.9% to settle at 23,897.95, while Sensex lost 1,829 points to close at 76,681.29. The biggest single-day swing came on Friday, 24 April — Sensex slumped 982.71 points (-1.27%) and Nifty cracked 275.10 points (-1.14%) after the Strait of Hormuz blockade sent crude prices surging on stalled US–Iran talks. Market character was unambiguously volatile and risk-off, with no meaningful intraday bounce once the West Asia escalation hit the tape. Bank Nifty close: data unavailable. India VIX: data unavailable. S&P 500, DXY and Brent exact prints: data unavailable from session feed, though Brent was the directional driver.
Sector Scorecard
- IT (worst): plunged over 5% on the week — Infosys -7.1% and HCLTech -5.8% led the carnage after weak FY27 revenue guidance overshadowed solid Q4 prints.
- Banks/Financials: dragged by FII selling and crude-driven inflation risk repricing the rate path — exact weekly % data unavailable.
- FMCG: likely defensive outperformer on classic risk-off rotation — exact weekly % data unavailable.
- Pharma: supported by rupee weakness on the oil shock — exact weekly % data unavailable.
- Oil & Gas: upstream constructive on the crude spike, OMCs exposed to margin compression — exact weekly % data unavailable.
FII / DII Flow Summary
Foreign institutions returned to aggressive selling on Friday — FII net outflow of ₹8,827.87 crore on 24 April alone, snapping a brief inflow spell. Domestics cushioned the blow with DII net buying of ₹4,700.71 crore in the same session. Full-week aggregate flows: data unavailable. The split is the textbook late-cycle template — foreigners de-risking on geopolitics plus IT guidance shock, domestics absorbing supply via SIP-led mutual fund and insurance buying. Critically, DII coverage was only ~53% of FII selling on Friday: real, but not nearly enough to neutralize an outflow of this magnitude in a single session. Positioning is defensive into a holiday-shortened week.
Next Week Setup
Bias is cautiously bearish to range-bound entering a truncated calendar — NSE/BSE will be shut for three sessions between 27 April and 3 May 2026. Three drivers will dominate: (1) the US–Iran / Strait of Hormuz trajectory and the resulting Brent path — every sustained $5 move re-prices India's CAD, INR and rate expectations; (2) the Q4 FY26 earnings tail, where financials, autos and energy majors must hold the line after IT set a low bar; (3) FII flow direction — another week of ₹5,000+ crore daily outflows forces DIIs to do all the heavy lifting and likely breaks 23,800. A crude reversal flips the entire setup constructive.
Key Levels & Events to Watch
- Nifty support: 23,800 (Friday's intraday low zone); a clean break opens 23,500, then the 200-DMA.
- Nifty resistance: 24,200 (Thursday's close); reclaim required to neutralize the weekly breakdown, with 24,500 the next hurdle.
- US Fed FOMC decision: scheduled early May 2026 (exact date data unavailable); consensus base case is rates on hold, Powell's tone on the crude shock is the trade.
- Q4 FY26 earnings: SBI, ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki and PSU banks due through the week — exact dates and consensus data unavailable; bank asset quality and auto demand commentary are the set-ups to watch.